| A Review of: War by Matt SturrockWhat's left to say about war? The phenomenon has been amply addressed
by hexameter-spouting pre-literates, Confucian generals, shell-shocked
poets, writers' workshop jarheads, and untold numbers of eminently
qualified commentators in between. Amid all that rhapsodizing,
lamenting, codifying, strategizing, speculating, and eulogizing is
the uncomfortable truth that nobody has yet figured out how to put
an end to it. But, hey, didn't the threat of war reach its apogee
in the late twentieth century, when the cocked and loaded ICBMs of
two competing superpowers threatened to scorch or choke all human
life from the planet? Now that the Cold War is over, aren't we
dealing with a new type of conflict with much lower stakes-the
occasional overthrow of some belligerent Third World dictator, the
pacifying of ethnic enmity in the usual hot spots, the killing or
capturing of a few politically disenfranchised radicals with
secessionist or Islamist agendas? We're making progress. So haven't
we heard enough already?
Well, no actually. As Gwynne Dyer makes clear in the new edition
of his book, War, the world is facing "three great changes .
. . that could tip the international system back into the old
anarchy: the environmental challenge of climate change, the political
challenge of the rise of new great powers, and the technological
challenge of nuclear proliferation." As the global population
surges past sustainable levels, as calamitous disruptions to the
biosphere make themselves felt more acutely, as ascendant nations
vie with one another for economic and military supremacy, it's
possible that humanity will be pressured into its old pattern of
war-making, and this time, use all of the weapons at its disposal.
It may be, as Dyer points out, that we're simply enjoying ""the
Indian summer of human history, with nothing to look forward to but
the nuclear winter' to close the account."
The first edition of War, which was based on the author's seven-part
television series of the same name, was published in 1985 and quickly
assumed classic status. This new edition sees some massaging and
re-ordering of the old edition's chapters, as well as significantly
expanded and up-to-date content on terrorism. In fact, the entire
book has grown, from 272 pages to a hefty 484. (That such an expansion
was warranted by events of the last two decades is in itself vaguely
disquieting.) What hasn't changed, however, is Dyer's commitment
to the answering of a key question: Is war an ineradicable part of
our genetic make-up, or is it merely an ancient institution that
can, with tremendous and concerted effort, be abolished?
Studies of Australian and Amazonian hunter-gatherer societies that
persisted into the nineteenth and twentieth centuries give us some
idea of how life was for our forbears, and the news is hardly
surprising. Inter-tribal warfare exhibited by both groups was
constant-enough to drive some tribes to extinction. As we travel
back in time through the fossil record, examining the lives of human
and proto-human ancestors, the evidence of our killing one another
never goes away. The 100,000-year-old remains of Neanderthals often
suggest that death came from spears and other stabbing weapons; the
750,000-year-old remains of Homo erectus often suggest that death
was delivered by club blows to the skull. Perhaps the most depressing
fact to be taken from all of this is that chimpanzees also practice
the deliberate, systematic killing of their own kind, and their
evolutionary line diverged from ours over half a million years ago.
As Dyer argues, "modern human beings did not invent warfare.
We inherited it."
The warfare practised by the above-mentioned groups was undisciplined,
poorly organized, and relatively uncommitted. Skirmishes, dawn
raids, and ambushes yielded relatively low casualty rates for any
one given encounter. But then, between five and six thousand years
ago, we see a massive disruption of this trend: new civilizations
spring up, and with them takes place the "first truly large-scale
slaughter of people in human history." This era saw the battle
become a "mass psychodrama" wherein opposing ranks of men
closed with one another in a merciless struggle that could kill
thousands in the space of half an hour. "And the question we
rarely ask," writes Dyer, "because our history is replete
with such scenes," is as follows:
"how could men do this? After all, in the hunter-gatherer
cultures we all come from, they could not have done it. Being a
warrior and taking part in a carefully limited battle with a small
but invigorating element of risk is one thing; the mechanistic and
impersonal mass slaughter of civilized warfare is quite another,
and any traditional warrior would do the sensible thing and leave
instantly."
The hallmarks of civilization-the surplus of resources, the top-down
hierarchical command, the large populations of men to draw upon for
armies-enabled a sterner, more ruthless type of combat that, once
started, could not be de-escalated or abandoned. Dyer traces the
power struggles from antiquity through the Dark and Middle Ages,
past the dawn of the nation state, and into the "total war"
that marked the early twentieth century. Ultimately, he's left to
wonder whether civilization wasn't an unwise development. "Human
beings were doing quite nicely without it . . . and seemed set for
a successful run of some millions of years. Here we are only ten
thousand years into the experiment, facing . . . the potential
extinction of the human species."
Dyer's clear language and convincing case building tow the reader
along until we bump up against the Cold War-an era with war doctrines
of such "baroque and self-referential complexity" that
even his efforts to elucidate them are stymied. His chapter, "A
Short History of Nuclear War" is largely a description of
measures and countermeasures devised by brain trusts and policy
wonks. Unwieldy acronyms fill the page: SAC, RAND, SIOPs, MAD, SALT,
MIRV, TTAPS, ABM, and START. The rhetoric employed by the politicians
and their analysts is often tortuous and euphemistic; their thinking
seems deluded, even psychotic. This is the era that gave us Thomas
Schelling's classic formulation on pre-emptive attack: "He
thinks we think he'll attack; so he thinks we shall; so he will;
so we must." This is the era in which Carl Sagan posited that
a nuclear war threatens the lives of over 500 trillion people-everyone
now living, plus all of our descendants over the course of an
estimated evolutionary timeline. Unreality pervades the entire
period. Dyer has trouble making sense of it all because there's
little sense to be had.
Much more instructive is his writing on guerillas and terrorists.
Any member of the Bush administration with free time between
Bible-study sessions would be well advised to examine three
particularly pertinent arguments that Dyer makes. One: History has
shown that attempts by guerilla forces to topple governments have
an abysmally low rate of success-except when the government in
question has been emplaced by a foreign, occupying power. Two: The
most effective terrorist organizations use "political
jiu-jitsu", tricking their enemies into a ruthless militaristic
response that can only discredit them and drive new converts to the
terrorist cause. Three: The seeming monopoly the Western governments
have had on democracy owes less to our inherited Christian/Greco-Roman
values, and more to the spread of mass media forms that foster
exchange and debate. If it is not quite utter folly to bring democracy
forcibly to the rest of the world, it will certainly be proven a
redundant exercise as media technologies continue to infiltrate
formerly closed societies.
With the dawning of the nuclear age in 1945, Einstein observed
rather ominously that "Everything has changed, except our way
of thinking." Dyer elaborates in his final chapter, explaining
that "our intelligence tends to produce technological and
social change at a rate faster than our institutions and emotions
can cope with." What's needed, he says, if we are to overcome
our genetic destiny and end war, is "a final act of
redefinition," an expansion of our "moral imagination"
that embraces "the whole of mankind." Dyer sees the forming
of a world government-one to which all nations would surrender their
sovereignties-as the only solution to the mistrust and brinkmanship
that currently threaten us. I envy Dyer for his optimism. And I
envy the generation he envisions who claims victory in its war on
war-the new and improved humanity that will, to borrow from Sassoon's
The Rear-Guard, climb "through darkness to the twilight
air/Unloading hell behind him step by step."
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